Full text of this article is only available in PDF format.

Pekka Leskinen (email), Jyrki Kangas

Analysing uncertainties of interval judgment data in multiple-criteria evaluation of forest plans

Leskinen P., Kangas J. (1998). Analysing uncertainties of interval judgment data in multiple-criteria evaluation of forest plans. Silva Fennica vol. 32 no. 4 article id 677. https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.677

Abstract

The use of interval judgments instead of accurate pairwise comparisons has been proposed as a solution to facilitate the analysis of uncertainties in the widely applied pairwise comparisons technique. A method is presented for deriving probability distributions for the pairwise comparisons and for utilizing the distributions in the analysis of uncertainties in the evaluation process. The first step is that the expert or the decision-maker is queried as to the best guess of the priority ratio of the attributes compared. This is followed by an adjusting query concerning the uncertainty in the comparison: what is the probability of the priority ratio being between the best guess ± 1 unit of the pairwise comparison scale? An application of the method is presented in the form of multiple-criteria evaluation of alternative management plans for a forest area.

Keywords
forest planning; uncertainty; decision analysis; expert judgment; pairwise comparisons

Author Info
  • Leskinen, Finnish Forest Research Institute, Kannus Research Station, P.O. Box 44, FIN-69101 Kannus, Finland E-mail pekka.leskinen@metla.fi (email)
  • Kangas, Finnish Forest Research Institute, Kannus Research Station, P.O. Box 44, FIN-69101 Kannus, Finland E-mail jk@nn.fi

Received 11 April 1997 Accepted 5 August 1998 Published 31 December 1998

Views 8149

Available at https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.677 | Download PDF

Creative Commons License CC BY-SA 4.0

Register
Click this link to register to Silva Fennica.
Log in
If you are a registered user, log in to save your selected articles for later access.
Contents alert
Sign up to receive alerts of new content

Your selected articles
Send to email
Laitakari E., (1959) The first half century of the Society of Forestr.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 70 no. 2 article id 7492 (remove) | Edit comment
Finnish Society of Forest Science ., (1968) Forest scientific research published in Finland .. Silva Fennica vol. 2 no. 1 article id 4763 (remove) | Edit comment
Lassila I., (1931) Research proposal for studies on sinking of logs.. Silva Fennica vol. no. 19 article id 4460 (remove) | Edit comment
Etverk I., (1980) Geographical variability of the Norway spruce in.. Silva Fennica vol. 14 no. 1 article id 5062 (remove) | Edit comment
Leskinen P., Kangas J. (1998) Analysing uncertainties of interval judgment dat.. Silva Fennica vol. 32 no. 4 article id 677 (remove) | Edit comment
Your search results