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Articles containing the keyword 'sequential Gaussian simulation'

Category : Research article

article id 22026, category Research article
Annika Kangas, Mari Myllymäki, Lauri Mehtätalo. (2023). Understanding uncertainty in forest resources maps. Silva Fennica vol. 57 no. 2 article id 22026. https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.22026
Keywords: autocorrelation; ensemble modelling; kriging; quantile; random forest; sequential Gaussian simulation
Highlights: Forest resources maps without uncertainty assessment may lead to false impression of precision; Suitable tools for visualization of map products are lacking; Kriging method provided accurate uncertainty assessment for pixel-level predictions; Quantile random forest algorithm slightly underestimated the pixel-level uncertainties; With simulation it is possible to assess the uncertainty also for landscape-level characteristics.
Abstract | Full text in HTML | Full text in PDF | Author Info

Maps of forest resources and other ecosystem services are needed for decision making at different levels. However, such maps are typically presented without addressing the uncertainties. Thus, the users of the maps have vague or no understanding of the uncertainties and can easily make wrong conclusions. Attempts to visualize the uncertainties are also rare, even though the visualization would be highly likely to improve understanding. One complication is that it has been difficult to address the predictions and their uncertainties simultaneously. In this article, the methods for addressing the map uncertainty and visualize them are first reviewed. Then, the methods are tested using laser scanning data with simulated response variable values to illustrate their possibilities. Analytical kriging approach captured the uncertainty of predictions at pixel level in our test case, where the estimated models had similar log-linear shape than the true model. Ensemble modelling with random forest led to slight underestimation of the uncertainties. Simulation is needed when uncertainty estimates are required for landscape level features more complicated than small areas.

  • Kangas, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Yliopistokatu 6, 80101 Joensuu, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8637-5668 E-mail: annika.kangas@luke.fi (email)
  • Myllymäki, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Latokartanonkaari 9, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2713-7088 E-mail: mari.myllymaki@luke.fi
  • Mehtätalo, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Yliopistokatu 6, 80101 Joensuu, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8128-0598 E-mail: lauri.mehtatalo@luke.fi

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Westman L., (1981) Monitoring of coniferous forest ecosystems in Sw.. Silva Fennica vol. 15 no. 4 article id 5140 (remove) | Edit comment
Kallio K., (1948) Forest related issues of land acquisition act Silva Fennica vol. no. 64 article id 4594 (remove) | Edit comment
Donis J., Kitenberga M. et al. (2017) The forest fire regime in Latvia during 1922–201.. Silva Fennica vol. 51 no. 5 article id 7746 (remove) | Edit comment
Wallden P., (1934) Studies on relationship between anatomical struc.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 40 no. 14 article id 7291 (remove) | Edit comment
Konzen E. R., Peron R. et al. (2017) Molecular identification of bamboo genera and sp.. Silva Fennica vol. 51 no. 4 article id 1691 (remove) | Edit comment
Vuoristo I., (1935) Investigations of the regression between the cub.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 42 no. 6 article id 7323 (remove) | Edit comment
Renvall A., (1923) The degree of radial shrinkage of pine stem wood.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 26 no. 3 article id 7091 (remove) | Edit comment
Ilvessalo Y., (1967) The development of natural normal forest stands .. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 81 no. 5 article id 7170 (remove) | Edit comment
Finnish Society of Forest Science ., (1972) Indices to series Acta Forestalia Fennica 1913–1.. Silva Fennica vol. 6 no. 4 article id 4873 (remove) | Edit comment
Lappi-Seppälä M., (1953) Effects of business cycles on forestry Silva Fennica vol. no. 80 article id 4630 (remove) | Edit comment
Jonsson B. G., Kruys N. et al. (2005) Ecology of species living on dead wood – lessons.. Silva Fennica vol. 39 no. 2 article id 390 (remove) | Edit comment
Metsähallitus ., (1939) Professional development courses of foresters in.. Silva Fennica vol. no. 52 article id 4548 (remove) | Edit comment
Lukkala O. J., (1920) Studies on the relationship between the type of .. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 16 no. 3 article id 7045 (remove) | Edit comment
Lönnroth E., (1934) On the straight line describing volume of a fore.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 40 no. 30 article id 7307 (remove) | Edit comment