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Articles containing the keyword 'sequential Gaussian simulation'

Category : Research article

article id 22026, category Research article
Annika Kangas, Mari Myllymäki, Lauri Mehtätalo. (2023). Understanding uncertainty in forest resources maps. Silva Fennica vol. 57 no. 2 article id 22026. https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.22026
Keywords: autocorrelation; ensemble modelling; kriging; quantile; random forest; sequential Gaussian simulation
Highlights: Forest resources maps without uncertainty assessment may lead to false impression of precision; Suitable tools for visualization of map products are lacking; Kriging method provided accurate uncertainty assessment for pixel-level predictions; Quantile random forest algorithm slightly underestimated the pixel-level uncertainties; With simulation it is possible to assess the uncertainty also for landscape-level characteristics.
Abstract | Full text in HTML | Full text in PDF | Author Info

Maps of forest resources and other ecosystem services are needed for decision making at different levels. However, such maps are typically presented without addressing the uncertainties. Thus, the users of the maps have vague or no understanding of the uncertainties and can easily make wrong conclusions. Attempts to visualize the uncertainties are also rare, even though the visualization would be highly likely to improve understanding. One complication is that it has been difficult to address the predictions and their uncertainties simultaneously. In this article, the methods for addressing the map uncertainty and visualize them are first reviewed. Then, the methods are tested using laser scanning data with simulated response variable values to illustrate their possibilities. Analytical kriging approach captured the uncertainty of predictions at pixel level in our test case, where the estimated models had similar log-linear shape than the true model. Ensemble modelling with random forest led to slight underestimation of the uncertainties. Simulation is needed when uncertainty estimates are required for landscape level features more complicated than small areas.

  • Kangas, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Yliopistokatu 6, 80101 Joensuu, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8637-5668 E-mail: annika.kangas@luke.fi (email)
  • Myllymäki, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Latokartanonkaari 9, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2713-7088 E-mail: mari.myllymaki@luke.fi
  • Mehtätalo, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Yliopistokatu 6, 80101 Joensuu, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8128-0598 E-mail: lauri.mehtatalo@luke.fi

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Volkova P., Shipunov A. et al. (2014) In search of hybridity: the case of Karelian spr.. Silva Fennica vol. 48 no. 2 article id 1072 (remove) | Edit comment
Gort J., Zubizarreta Gerendiain A. et al. (2009) Differences in fibre properties in Scots pine (P.. Silva Fennica vol. 43 no. 3 article id 193 (remove) | Edit comment
Nuutinen T., Hirvelä H. et al. (2000) The role of peatlands in Finnish wood production.. Silva Fennica vol. 34 no. 2 article id 636 (remove) | Edit comment
Bhat K. M., Kärkkäinen M. (1982) Wood anatomy and physical properties of the wood.. Silva Fennica vol. 16 no. 1 article id 5155 (remove) | Edit comment
Kalela E. K., (1946) Collection of resin in Scots pine forests in the.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 52 no. 3 article id 7381 (remove) | Edit comment
Mikola P., (1988) Ectendomycorrhiza of conifers. Silva Fennica vol. 22 no. 1 article id 5339 (remove) | Edit comment
Tikkanen I., (1986) Search for innovative forest policies and progra.. Silva Fennica vol. 20 no. 4 article id 5281 (remove) | Edit comment
Bhat K. M., Kärkkäinen M. (1981) Variation in structure and selected properties o.. Silva Fennica vol. 15 no. 2 article id 5115 (remove) | Edit comment
Sarvas R., (1948) Forest tree breeding Silva Fennica vol. no. 64 article id 4586 (remove) | Edit comment
Rummukainen U., (1954) Estimation of Scots pine and Norway spruce cone .. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 61 no. 20 article id 7432 (remove) | Edit comment
Finér L., (1991) Effect of fertilization on dry mass accumulation.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 0 no. 223 article id 7669 (remove) | Edit comment
Moore J. R., Lyon A. J. et al. (2009) The effects of site and stand factors on the tre.. Silva Fennica vol. 43 no. 3 article id 195 (remove) | Edit comment
Päivinen R., Anttila P. (2001) How reliable is a satellite forest inventory? Silva Fennica vol. 35 no. 1 article id 610 (remove) | Edit comment
Lukkala O. J., (1920) Studies on the relationship between the type of .. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 16 no. 3 article id 7045 (remove) | Edit comment
Kärkkäinen M., (1977) Editorial observations on scientific series in f.. Silva Fennica vol. 11 no. 3 article id 4976 (remove) | Edit comment